Establishment of a Prediction Model for Postherpetic Neuralgia
Brief Summary
This prospective cohort study enrolled 300 herpes zoster (HZ) patients at varying disease stages (1 week to 3 months post-onset) to investigate predictors of postherpetic neuralgia (PHN). Comprehensive baseline data were collected, including demographic characteristics (age, sex, body mass index \[BMI\]), clinical comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes mellitus), disease-specific parameters (duration of zoster-associated pain \[ZAP\], dermatomal distribution, pregabalin dosage equivalents), and psychometric assessments using validated scales (Numerical Rating Scale \[NRS\], age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index \[aCCI\], Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 \[GAD-7\], Patient Health Questionnaire-9 \[PHQ-9\], and Insomnia Severity Index \[ISI\]). Laboratory evaluations encompassed routine hematological tests (complete blood count \[CBC\], hepatic/renal function), metabolic profiling (triglycerides \[TG\], total cholesterol \[TC\], lipoprotein subfractions), inflammatory markers (erythrocyte sedimentation rate \[ESR\], comprehensive cytokine panel including interleukins \[IL\] and interferons \[IFN\]), and detailed immunophenotyping via multicolor flow cytometry of peripheral blood lymphocytes. After a 3-month follow-up, patients were to be stratified into PHN and non-PHN groups based on pain persistence. The use of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was planned to identify significant predictive factors and develop a multivariate model, with the aim of establishing a precision medicine framework for early PHN risk stratification through integrated analysis of clinical and immunological parameters.
Primary Outcomes
Trial Information
NCT07271784
Completed
OBSERVATIONAL
First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University
December 15, 2025